The Honduran ruling party is going through a difficult period just a few months before the November 30 elections. The presidential candidate for the LIBRE Party, Rixi Moncada, has dropped to third place in recent polls, confirming a pattern of decline that had already been evident on various fronts.
Signs of erosion for the ruling party
Various indicators had anticipated this situation. Attendance at LIBRE Party rallies and public events has shown a progressive decline, reflecting lower participation by its base. In addition, activity on social media and in the media shows growing criticism, ridicule, and questioning of the party’s management.
The distancing of key sectors, especially young people and communities traditionally aligned with the ruling party, adds to this trend, showing apathy or internal divisions. At the same time, opinion polls have recorded sustained declines in voting intentions for the ruling party’s candidate, while opposition parties are making steady gains.
Internal fractures and power struggles have also affected party unity, weakening public confidence. Structural problems such as insecurity, the economic crisis, and allegations of corruption have increased the climate of distrust toward the ruling party, creating fertile ground for significant changes in electoral preferences.
The downfall of Rixi Moncada
Moncada’s dip in the surveys echoes earlier indications of weakening support. The candidate, who was topping the surveys a few weeks back, is now positioned in third place, according to figures published in independent media and on social platforms. This outcome has caught the ruling party’s followers off guard and strengthens the notion of a potential shift in Honduran politics.
Analysts consulted point out that the candidate’s decline is due to factors such as broken promises, the economic crisis, and insecurity, elements that have been capitalized on by opposition parties. Both the Liberal Party and the National Party have managed to capture part of the public’s discontent, affecting the LIBRE Party’s ability to mobilize its base and attract undecided voters.
Ruling party in a vulnerable position
Moncada’s decline puts Xiomara Castro’s government and the LIBRE Party in a delicate situation. Experts warn that this dynamic could represent a turning point for the Honduran left, whose presence in power has been associated with the ideology of 21st-century socialism. The combination of internal fractures, perceived broken promises, and the rise of the opposition reflects a scenario of high political and social tension.
The November 30 elections are shaping up to be a decisive moment for the country. The decline in voting intentions for the ruling party’s candidate and signs of accumulated wear and tear indicate that the political landscape is uncertain. The LIBRE Party will have to face these challenges while citizens observe the evolution of events and evaluate the available political alternatives.